Anglo American PLC
Materials
North America
Investment summary

Anglo American is a global mining company with operations across Africa, Australia, South America, North America, and Europe. Its diverse portfolio includes diamonds, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), iron ore, coal, nickel, and by-products such as zinc and lead. The company operates through several subsidiaries. Its two subsidiaries, Kumba Iron Ore and Anglo American Platinum, are publicly traded entities. Kumba Iron Ore: Anglo American holds a 63.4% stake in Kumba Iron Ore, a leading supplier of high-quality iron ore to the global steel industry. Anglo American Platinum: As the world's largest primary producer of PGMs, Anglo American Platinum operates extensive mining and processing facilities in South Africa's Bushveld Complex and Zimbabwe's Great Dyke. Steelmaking Coal Operations: Anglo American was among the top exporters of steelmaking coal, serving clients in Asia, Europe, a... Anglo American is a global mining company with operations across Africa, Australia, South America, North America, and Europe. Its diverse portfolio includes diamonds, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), iron ore, coal, nickel, and by-products such as zinc and lead. The company operates through several subsidiaries. Its two subsidiaries, Kumba Iron Ore and Anglo American Platinum, are publicly traded entities. Kumba Iron Ore: Anglo American holds a 63.4% stake in Kumba Iron Ore, a leading supplier of high-quality iron ore to the global steel industry. Anglo American Platinum: As the world's largest primary producer of PGMs, Anglo American Platinum operates extensive mining and processing facilities in South Africa's Bushveld Complex and Zimbabwe's Great Dyke. Steelmaking Coal Operations: Anglo American was among the top exporters of steelmaking coal, serving clients in Asia, Europe, and South America. Its assets included the Moranbah North and Grosvenor mines in Queensland, Australia, each with an 88% ownership stake. De Beers: A subsidiary of Anglo American, De Beers is responsible for approximately one-third of global rough diamond production. Anglo American's strategic restructuring reflects its commitment to focusing on core commodities and adapting to evolving market dynamics. AAL targets 1mtps of copper production by 2030.

Details
Ticker
AAL.L
Trading currency
GBp
Last close price, (currency)
2,507.5
Common shares outstanding
1,337,577,910
Preferred shares
0
MktCap, (currency) mn
42,495
Target price
2440.00
Current opinion
HOLD
Description

Anglo American PLC is a UK-based mining company with a diverse portfolio of operations focused on diamonds, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), iron ore, coal, nickel, manganese, and crop nutrients. The company’s business is organized into several segments, including De Beers, Copper, Platinum Group Metals (PGMs), Iron Ore, Metallurgical Coal, Nickel, Manganese and Crop Nutrients, and Corporate. The De Beers segment specializes in the diamond business, offering both rough and polished diamonds. The PGMs segment includes a range of platinum group metals: platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, and osmium. The Iron Ore segment supplies high-grade iron ore from assets in Brazil and... Anglo American PLC is a UK-based mining company with a diverse portfolio of operations focused on diamonds, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), iron ore, coal, nickel, manganese, and crop nutrients. The company’s business is organized into several segments, including De Beers, Copper, Platinum Group Metals (PGMs), Iron Ore, Metallurgical Coal, Nickel, Manganese and Crop Nutrients, and Corporate. The De Beers segment specializes in the diamond business, offering both rough and polished diamonds. The PGMs segment includes a range of platinum group metals: platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, and osmium. The Iron Ore segment supplies high-grade iron ore from assets in Brazil and South Africa. Metallurgical Coal focuses on exporting coal for steelmaking, serving customers across Asia, Europe, and South America. Anglo American operates in multiple countries, including Chile, Peru, Brazil, South Africa, Botswana, Namibia, and Australia, among others. Copper represents the largest segment in terms of copper-equivalent production volume, followed by PGMs, steelmaking coal, iron ore, diamonds, and nickel.

Industry view (TAM)

The demand for platinum group metals (PGMs) remained relatively stable in 2023. Looking ahead to 2025-2026, automotive catalyst demand for PGMs is projected to increase by 3-5% annually. This growth is attributed to the easing of light vehicle production constraints and the moderate expansion of non-PGM battery-electric vehicle production. Automotive catalysts currently account for approximately 65% of global PGM demand. The introduction of stricter vehicle emission standards, such as Euro 7, is expected to drive a modest increase in PGM loadings, particularly around 2025. These regulations will necessitate enhanced emission control technologies, thereby boosting PGM usage in catalytic converters. Additionally, the substitution of platinum for palladium in gasoline catalysts is anticipated to support platinum demand, as manufacturers seek cost-effective alternatives. While the automotive sector continues to be a significant driver of PGM demand, the evolving regulatory landscape and technological advancements will play crucial roles in shaping future demand dynamics.

Pros
  1. Anglo American plc is a leading global mining company with a robust resource base that underpins its production growth. The company's large-scale operations in iron ore, copper, and platinum group metals (PGMs) position it favorably on the cash cost curve relative to its peers.
  2. In line with its commitment to sustainability, Anglo American has strategically exited the thermal coal sector.
  3. Anglo American maintains a dividend policy with a payout ratio of 40% of underlying earnings. The company has a history of supplementing this base dividend with additional returns to shareholders during periods of strong financial performance.
  4. The company's diversified portfolio and operational efficiency contribute to a stable financial position, enabling it to sustain relatively high margins throughout market cycles. This financial resilience supports ongoing investments in growth and shareholder returns.
  5. Anglo American's strategic focus on core commodities, commitment to sustainability, and disciplined financial management underpin its strong position in the global mining industry.
Cons
  1. The company is exposed to the volatility of base metal and iron ore prices.
  2. The steelmaking business was weak in 2022 due to lockdowns and a slowdown in the real estate sector in China.
  3. The company operates in Latin America and Africa, where political and regulatory environments may be unstable, exposing it to foreign exchange (FX) risks in these regions.
  4. Social and environmental challenges in production areas may result in financial losses.
  5. Rising inflation and increasing production costs have negatively impacted profit margins.
Risks
  1. Geopolitical Risks: The company faces challenges arising from political instability and geopolitical tensions in the regions where it operates.
  2. Mining Risks: Operational hazards, such as accidents, equipment failure, and geological uncertainties, pose significant risks to the company’s mining activities.
  3. Resource Base Depletion: There is a risk of failing to replace depleted resources, which could impact long-term production and profitability.
  4. High Product Price Volatility: Fluctuations in commodity prices can significantly affect the company’s revenue and margins.
  5. Social Instability Risks: Operating in emerging markets exposes the company to risks associated with social unrest, labor strikes, and local conflicts, which may disrupt operations.
Historical price chart
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Peer Group (top 5)

Company RIC Market Capitalization, $mn Last reporting year P/E Fwd 1Y P/E Fwd 2Y EV/EBITDA 1Y fwd EV/EBITDA 2Y fwd EV/Revenues 1y fwd EV/Revenues 2y fwd
Anglo American PLC AAL.L 42,495 2023-12-31 17.6 16.6 6.6 6.3 2.1 2.3
Rio Tinto PLC RIO.L 108,382 2023-12-31 9.4 9.4 4.9 4.8 2.2 2.2
Glencore PLC GLEN.L 58,463 2023-12-31 15.0 11.6 5.6 4.7 0.3 0.3
BHP Group Ltd BHP.AX 135,030 2024-06-30 11.4 11.6 5.4 5.4 2.8 2.8
Antofagasta PLC ANTO.L 21,853 2023-12-31 29.9 22.6 7.5 6.4 3.8 3.5
Boliden AB BOL.ST 8,439 2023-12-31 10.0 11.6 5.8 5.9 1.2 1.2
Financials
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Revenue 26,243 27,610 29,870 25,447 41,547 35,127 32,502 28,128 27,831 29,189
Growth 5% 8% -15% 63% -15% -7% -13% -1% 5%
EBITDA 7,717 7,997 9,389 9,457 20,199 14,495 9,958 9,103 9,569 10,688
EBITDA margin 29.4% 29.0% 31.4% 37.2% 48.6% 41.3% 30.6% 32.4% 34.4% 36.6%
Net income 3,166 3,549 3,547 2,089 8,562 4,514 283 2,015 2,508 3,346
Net margin 12.1% 12.9% 11.9% 8.2% 20.6% 12.9% 0.9% 7.2% 9.0% 11.5%
Net debt 4,171 2,404 4,389 6,347 4,474 6,428 10,824 6,428 6,428 6,428
MktCap 39,185 44,004 55,050 52,528 52,528 52,528 52,528 52,528

Historical Multiples

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
EV/Revenue 1.5 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0
EV/EBITDA 4.6 5.3 2.9 4.1 6.4 6.5 6.2 5.5
P/E 11.0 21.1 6.4 11.6 185.6 26.1 20.9 15.7
Charts