Rio Tinto is one of the largest iron ore producers in the world. In 2023, the company produced 331.8 million tons of iron ore (on a 100% basis) in Australia's Pilbara region. The company also reported aluminum output of 3.3 million tons and bauxite production of 54.6 million tons in 2023. Mined copper production reached 620 kt. With a strong market position in iron ore for the steelmaking industry, Rio Tinto is one of the most influential players in the global metals market. The company benefits from vertical integration, controlling both mining and refining operations, and from its large scale of operations, which helps keep operating costs under control. While Rio Tinto has capitalized on rising commodity prices in the post-COVID environment, lockdowns in China negatively impacted steelmaking performance throughout 2022-2023.
Rio Tinto plc is a UK-based metals and mining company operating across several segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Corporate, and Minerals. The company has an integrated portfolio of iron ore assets, including a network of 17 mines, four independent port terminals, and a rail system spanning approximately 2,000 kilometers. The Aluminium business comprises four bauxite mines located in Australia, Brazil, and Guinea; four alumina refineries in Australia, Brazil, and Canada; 14 aluminum smelters in Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Oman; and seven hydropower plants in Canada. The Copper segment includes three copper operations in the United States, Mongolia, and Chile, as well as three c... Rio Tinto plc is a UK-based metals and mining company operating across several segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Corporate, and Minerals. The company has an integrated portfolio of iron ore assets, including a network of 17 mines, four independent port terminals, and a rail system spanning approximately 2,000 kilometers. The Aluminium business comprises four bauxite mines located in Australia, Brazil, and Guinea; four alumina refineries in Australia, Brazil, and Canada; 14 aluminum smelters in Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Oman; and seven hydropower plants in Canada. The Copper segment includes three copper operations in the United States, Mongolia, and Chile, as well as three copper projects in the United States, Mongolia, and Australia. Additionally, the company produces gold, silver, molybdenum, and other metals as by-products of its copper operations. The Minerals segment spans four key sectors: borates, titanium dioxide, iron ore, and diamonds. The Commercial segment manages global sales and marketing, procurement, and marine and logistics operations. Rio Tinto operates in 35 countries worldwide, leveraging its extensive asset base and diverse portfolio to meet the global demand for critical materials.
In 2023, global production of usable iron ore was estimated at 2.5 billion tons (bt). The largest iron ore-producing countries include Australia (approximately 900 million tons per annum), Brazil (380 million tons), China (360 million tons), India (240 million tons), and Russia (100 million tons). Crude steel production reached 1.89 bt in 2023, with China’s crude steel accounting for 54% of total output. In 2024, growth in steel-consuming sectors is expected to decline more sharply than previously estimated (-2.7% compared to -1.6%). This is driven by a second consecutive recession in the construction sector and the first downturn in the automotive sector since 2020.
| Company | RIC | Market Capitalization, $mn | Last reporting year | P/E Fwd 1Y | P/E Fwd 2Y | EV/EBITDA 1Y fwd | EV/EBITDA 2Y fwd | EV/Revenues 1y fwd | EV/Revenues 2y fwd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Tinto PLC | RIO.L | 108,382 | 2023-12-31 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Anglo American PLC | AAL.L | 42,495 | 2023-12-31 | 17.6 | 16.6 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Glencore PLC | GLEN.L | 58,463 | 2023-12-31 | 15.0 | 11.6 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| BHP Group Ltd | BHP.AX | 135,030 | 2024-06-30 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Antofagasta PLC | ANTO.L | 21,853 | 2023-12-31 | 29.9 | 22.6 | 7.5 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Vale SA | VALE3.SA | 43,911 | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 40,030 | 40,522 | 43,165 | 44,611 | 63,495 | 55,554 | 54,041 | 53,134 | 52,493 | 52,953 |
| Growth | 1% | 7% | 3% | 42% | -13% | -3% | -2% | -1% | 1% | |
| EBITDA | 17,945 | 17,618 | 21,087 | 23,868 | 36,797 | 26,090 | 23,671 | 23,128 | 23,353 | 23,614 |
| EBITDA margin | 44.8% | 43.5% | 48.9% | 53.5% | 58.0% | 47.0% | 43.8% | 43.5% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| Net income | 8,762 | 13,638 | 8,010 | 9,769 | 21,115 | 12,392 | 10,058 | 11,108 | 10,984 | 10,857 |
| Net margin | 21.9% | 33.7% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 33.3% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 20.5% |
| Net debt | 3,571 | -625 | 3,476 | 773 | -1,757 | -1,757 | -1,757 | -1,757 | -1,757 | -1,757 |
| MktCap | 94,582 | 116,448 | 106,254 | 8,101,897 | 8,101,897 | 8,101,897 | 8,101,897 | 8,101,897 |
Historical Multiples
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Revenue | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 145.8 | 149.9 | 152.4 | 154.3 | 153.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.7 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 310.5 | 342.2 | 350.2 | 346.9 | 343.0 |
| P/E | 11.8 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 653.8 | 805.5 | 729.4 | 737.6 | 746.2 |